PP 14
TO A FLAME
F '23 · JUSTIFY × MOTH
Trainer: ARNOLD GEORGE R II · Jockey: MORALES EDGAR
Today's prediction
88.1
Speed fig
21.2%
In-the-money
Last 4 races
Why this prediction?
Base prediction: 83.2 fig points
Pushing prediction up
- BRIS Prime Power +5.15
- BRIS Dirt Pedigree +0.38
- Class Par Trend +0.29
- BRIS Dist Pedigree +0.23
- Speed Fig Trend +0.14
Pushing prediction down
- Days Since Last Race -0.40
- Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.40
- Mean Speed Fig Last 5 -0.28
- Max Speed Fig Career -0.20
- Prior Starts At Churchill -0.16
Past performances
| Date | Track | Dist | Sfx | Fin | Beat | Fig | Class | Comment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | KEE | 1m | Turf | 7 | 3.0 | 87 | 89 | 3p;bid btw;5-6p;faded |
| 2026-03-07 | GP | 1m | Turf | 1 | 1.5 | 81 | 86 | Ins;bxd;split1/8;clear |
| 2025-08-31 | KD | 1m | Turf | 3 | 0.3 | 84 | 81 | Alter in 1/8;bid btwn |
| 2025-07-20 | ELP | 1m | Dirt | 1 | 0.5 | 72 | 72 | Ins;bid 2w1/4;determnd |