John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R2

PP 3

TIZ SALTY

M '21 · ACCELERATE × TIZ CHAMP

Trainer: THOMPSON MICHAEL · Jockey: TORRES CRISTIAN A

Today's prediction

68.5

Speed fig

27.9%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Mean Pace 4f Last 5 +0.73
  • Max Speed Fig Career +0.22
  • Weight Change From Last +0.18
  • Today Track Code +0.17
  • Mean Pace 2f Last 5 +0.11

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -6.06
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.75
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.58
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -0.46
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 -0.30

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-19 KEE 1.13m Dirt 5 10.8 70 81 Slow early;lag;wllngly
2026-03-27 TP 1m Dirt 5 12.0 62 75 Svd grnd;shift out upr
2025-12-19 TP 1m Dirt 9 10.3 66 78 Never prominent
2025-11-16 CD 1.06m Dirt 2 3.0 71 76 Step slow;4-6p;rallied
2025-10-22 KEE 1.06m Dirt 4 8.8 70 83 2p;5p1/4;denied show
2025-09-26 CD 1.06m Dirt 4 2.3 74 76 Brshd;ins;came agn btw
2025-08-18 IND 1.06m Turf 1 0.3 67 66 Bid3/8;angld4p1/8;rlly
2025-07-12 ELP 1m Dirt 3 4.0 77 75 Ins;2-3p;7p3/16;rally
2025-06-14 CD 1.06m Dirt 5 5.5 72 80 Beat slw st;ins;mildly
2025-05-18 CD 1.06m Dirt 2 2.5 72 75 5-4p;rally btw;gaining