John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R1

PP 6

TIZ IN SIGHT

F '23 · TIZ THE LAW × HINDSIGHT

Trainer: HARTMAN CHRIS · Jockey: MENDOZA AMIR

Today's prediction

81.5

Speed fig

50.1%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +3.58
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.61
  • Today Track Code +0.49
  • Today Field Size +0.22
  • Max Speed Fig Career +0.21

Pushing prediction down

  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.38
  • Mean Pace 2f Last 5 -0.35
  • Today Purse Log10 -0.27
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.20
  • Distance Change From Last -0.12

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-11 OP 6f Dirt 4 7.0 78 88 4-3p; loom1/4; weaken
2026-03-14 OP 6f Dirt 2 3.3 79 Pace;rail;no mtch late
2026-02-22 OP 6f Dirt 4 4.3 67 86 Bid 3p5/16; evened out
2026-02-08 OP 6f Dirt 1 0.3 86 82 2p;cued1/4;dug in;bump
2026-01-02 OP 6f Dirt 1 2.5 79 84 Stumble brk;duel;clear
2025-10-31 CD 7f Dirt 6 12.0 70 86 Chased 3w;5w upr;tired
2025-10-03 KEE 6f Dirt 2 0.5 86 Shook clear upr;bested
2025-08-27 SAR 1.06m Turf 5 14.3 69 84 Tracked 2p; tired
2025-08-03 SAR 6.5f Dirt 4 8.3 74 93 8w uppr; no headway
2025-06-25 CD 5f Dirt 1 0.3 82 84 2p;angle4p bump1/8;up