John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R9

PP 5

TIZ FREEDOM

C '22 · TIZ THE LAW × ENOUGH

Trainer: FOSTER ERIC · Jockey: SAEZ GABRIEL

Today's prediction

75.6

Speed fig

35.4%

In-the-money

Last 9 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Turf Pedigree +0.39
  • Max Speed Fig Career +0.25
  • Mean Pace 2f Last 5 +0.19
  • Mean Pace 4f Last 5 +0.17
  • Run Style P +0.13

Pushing prediction down

  • Today Field Size -0.53
  • Tj Combo Roi 365d -0.46
  • BRIS Prime Power -0.40
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.39
  • Field Size Change From Last -0.27

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-18 KEE 1.13m Dirt 3 8.5 75 87 4w;in range2nd;left ld
2026-04-03 KEE 1.13m Turf 10 14.8 69 90 2-4p; no factor
2026-02-08 TAM 1m Turf 6 3.3 80 85 Std'd 1s;2-3w;btwn trn
2026-01-11 TAM 1m Turf 1 2.0 77 82 3-5w;drift;forge clear
2025-12-04 AQU 1m Dirt 4 12.3 80 88 4-3w upper; weakened
2025-11-13 AQU 1.06m Turf 9 16.5 62 83 3w 1st turn; no impact
2024-10-12 BAQ 1.06m Turf 2 2.0 70 78 3w pursuit; ran on
2024-08-17 SAR 6f Dirt 6 18.3 59 88 5-4p turn;2p3/16;empty
2024-07-06 BAQ 5.5f Dirt 3 7.5 68 83 Hit gate; bumped st