Derby 2026
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PP 3

TIMEOUT

H '21 · CURLIN × LULL

Trainer: MOTT WILLIAM I · Jockey: ALVARADO JUNIOR

Today's prediction

89.7

Speed fig

27.5%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 83.3 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Max Speed Fig Career +2.31
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 +1.41
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +1.15
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +1.03
  • Mean Speed Fig Career +0.50

Pushing prediction down

  • Mean Late Pace Last 5 -0.42
  • Mean Pace 2f Last 5 -0.34
  • Speed Fig Trend -0.11
  • Starts Last 180d -0.06
  • Starts Last 60d -0.00

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-03-28 OP 1.06m Dirt 5 6.3 87 94 3w trip;did not fire
2025-06-06 SAR 1.75m Dirt 6 47.0 72 97 Bmpd brk;3-4path turns
2025-04-30 CD 1.50m Dirt 2 0.1 97 96 4-2p;4-5p3rd;rally;mss
2025-04-08 KEE 1.06m Turf 10 13.3 80 Ins-2p; no impact
2025-02-15 TAM 1.06m Turf 1 0.3 83 87 Btwn;split;;bmp1/8;up
2025-01-16 GP 1m Dirt 1 0.5 87 90 Cue4p5/16;inched ahead
2024-11-10 AQU 1m Dirt 6 5.3 90 97 5-6w uppr; no response
2024-09-21 PRX 1.13m Dirt 7 10.5 87 103 Inside; lacked rally
2024-08-17 SAR 1.13m Dirt 2 0.5 95 95 4-3w 1st turn; ran on
2024-07-19 SAR 1.13m Dirt 3 4.0 95 101 5w upper; kept on