John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R1

PP 7

TIME TO STRIKE

C '23 · NOT THIS TIME × STRIKING IMPACT

Trainer: CASSE MARK · Jockey: VELAZQUEZ J R

Today's prediction

72.5

Speed fig

20.7%

In-the-money

Last 3 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Turf Pedigree +0.43
  • Weight Change From Last +0.20
  • Mean Pace 4f Last 5 +0.19
  • Speed Fig Consistency +0.18
  • Num Career Starts +0.16

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -1.54
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.78
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -0.72
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 -0.42
  • Today Post Position -0.30

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-03-22 GP 7.5f Turf 4 9.0 73 84 Bumped start; 2-4wd
2025-08-10 SAR 1.06m Turf 7 11.3 49 81 Out;2p trns;3p1/4;wknd
2025-07-12 SAR 6f Dirt 4 14.5 70 87 Outside;4p turn;tired