John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R12

PP 11

TIME TO DREAM

F '23 · NOT THIS TIME × WILD SILK

Trainer: PLETCHER TODD A · Jockey: ORTIZ IRAD JR

Today's prediction

89.5

Speed fig

28.2%

In-the-money

Last 5 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +8.32
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.71
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.67
  • Last Speed Fig +0.66
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +0.66

Pushing prediction down

  • Today Field Size -0.55
  • Today Post Position -0.38
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.18
  • Jockey Meet Starts Log -0.11
  • Field Early Speed Count -0.08

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-03-07 TAM 1.06m Turf 2 1.3 89 88 2p;bid1/4;chase on
2025-10-31 DMR 1m Turf 10 11.0 79 93 3w;bpd5/16;angled6wd
2025-10-03 KEE 1.06m Turf 3 1.0 82 83 Brush 6p1/8;belatedly
2025-08-27 SAR 1.06m Turf 1 5.0 86 84 Bumped st; drew clear
2025-07-25 SAR 1m Turf 1 2.3 77 77 Off heels 3/8; up 1/16