Derby 2026
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PP 3

TIME TO DAZZLE

M '21 · NOT THIS TIME × STARIA

Trainer: CASSE MARK · Jockey: ORTIZ JOSE L

Today's prediction

89.7

Speed fig

28.5%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 83.2 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +5.59
  • Max Speed Fig Career +1.10
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.86
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +0.67
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 +0.33

Pushing prediction down

  • Days Since Last Race -1.11
  • Speed Fig Consistency -0.31
  • Speed Fig At Similar Distance Mean -0.22
  • Mean Pace 4f Last 5 -0.14
  • Prior Starts At Churchill -0.14

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-12 KEE 5.5f Turf 4 3.3 91 93 3w;5p upr;duel show
2026-02-14 KAR 6.7f Turf 4 2.8
2025-10-12 KEE 5.5f Turf 1 3.3 96 93 2wbtw;rail rally;clear
2025-09-10 KD 6.5f Turf 2 0.5 89 89 Gaining btwn; missed
2025-08-30 KD 6.5f Turf 4 2.5 90 94 3-w trn;5-w upr;mvd up
2025-07-19 SAR 5.5f Turf 3 0.8 88 93 Clip foe; bobbled 1/4p
2025-06-05 SAR 5.5f Turf 4 1.3 91 94 4p turn;5p1/4;willing
2025-05-04 BAQ 6f Turf 2 1.0 87 90 2p turn;lost crop 1/8
2024-10-18 BAQ 6f Turf 4 4.5 81 87 Outside;4p turn;tired
2024-09-07 KD 6.5f Turf 4 1.5 91 90 Ins;shuffled 1/2;4w1/8