John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R13

PP 9

THUNDER BUCK

C '23 · GUN RUNNER × OXY LADY

Trainer: WALSH BRENDAN P · Jockey: SAEZ LUIS

Today's prediction

82.0

Speed fig

28.7%

In-the-money

Last 4 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +3.13
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +1.14
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.50
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.44
  • Today Track Code +0.36

Pushing prediction down

  • Today Post Position -0.31
  • Today Field Size -0.23
  • Speed Fig At Today Track Max -0.12
  • Last Finish Pos -0.11
  • Mean Late Pace Last 5 -0.11

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-03-07 TAM 1.06m Dirt 7 13.0 78 97 Btwn;2-3p;empty
2026-01-17 FG 1.06m Dirt 10 13.0 73 97 Tracked btw; retreated
2025-12-20 FG 1.06m Dirt 1 1.8 85 84 Stdy; 5wbid; clear
2025-10-16 KEE 7f Dirt 4 10.3 79 89 Brk in;ins;mvd up btw