John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R9

PP 13

THOUSANDSTICKS

C '23 · TWIRLING CANDY × LOTTIE

Trainer: LYNCH BRIAN A · Jockey: ROSARIO JOEL

Today's prediction

83.7

Speed fig

20.2%

In-the-money

Last 6 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +6.53
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +0.90
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.76
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.57
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 +0.51

Pushing prediction down

  • Today Field Size -1.10
  • Today Post Position -0.49
  • Today Track Code -0.46
  • Field Size Change From Last -0.24
  • Mean Pace 2f Last 5 -0.21

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-02-28 GP 1m Turf 4 2.8 80 92 4w1st;bid3-4w;flatened
2026-01-31 GP 1.06m Turf 1 0.3 91 90 Bmp1st;2w;lng drv;bes
2026-01-11 GP 1.06m Turf 1 1.8 86 89 Inside;clear;handily
2025-12-06 GP 1m Turf 1 3.5 88 80 Rail duel; greenly str
2025-10-26 CD 1m Turf 3 1.8 79 85 Ins;3w5/16;aim;drifted
2025-08-28 KD 6.5f Turf 4 6.8 78 4-5w turn;no final bid