PP 1
THOUGHTTHATCOUNTS
G '21 · SKY MESA × SWEET STARLET
Trainer: JACOBSON DAVID · Jockey: GAFFALIONE TYLER
Today's prediction
90.4
Speed fig
63.1%
In-the-money
Last 10 races
Why this prediction?
Base prediction: 76.4 fig points
Pushing prediction up
- BRIS Prime Power +5.36
- Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +1.53
- Mean Class Par Last 5 +1.53
- Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +1.21
- Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.89
Pushing prediction down
- Num Career Starts -0.27
- Mean Speed Fig Career -0.15
- Jockey Meet Win Rate -0.13
- Distance Change From Last -0.10
- Trainer Meet Win Rate -0.08
Past performances
| Date | Track | Dist | Sfx | Fin | Beat | Fig | Class | Comment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | KEE | 7f | Dirt | 2 | 0.8 | 98 | 96 | Gain 4-5p;bid 1/8;duel |
| 2026-03-01 | OP | 6f | Dirt | 6 | 8.5 | 84 | — | Bmp stdy st; trail3-2p |
| 2026-02-05 | OP | 1m | Dirt | 5 | 10.5 | 79 | 94 | Broke back; trailed |
| 2026-01-03 | OP | 6f | Dirt | 3 | 3.0 | 93 | 96 | Off slw;5w;stride late |
| 2025-12-19 | OP | 6f | Dirt | 2 | 3.5 | 87 | 94 | Ins;angled6p upr;rally |
| 2025-11-23 | CD | 1m | Dirt | 1 | 2.5 | 94 | 92 | Gain 4p;took over 1/4 |
| 2025-11-01 | CD | 7.5f | Dirt | 3 | 1.0 | 94 | 96 | 2w btw;wait;6p1/4;late |
| 2025-10-04 | KEE | 7f | Dirt | 2 | 2.5 | 99 | 96 | Ins-2p;bid 3wbtw;outkk |
| 2025-09-19 | PID | 6.5f | Dirt | 1 | 2.5 | 94 | 90 | Trackd ins;angld;drvng |
| 2025-08-29 | CNL | 5.5f | Turf | 3 | 2.0 | 83 | 86 | 2-3p;angled;clsd;got3d |