John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R2

PP 7

THEPRINCESSFACTOR

F '22 · THE FACTOR × ARCINA

Trainer: SHARP JOE · Jockey: ORTIZ JOSE L

Today's prediction

71.1

Speed fig

50.3%

In-the-money

Last 5 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Mean Late Pace Last 5 +0.25
  • Num Career Starts +0.23
  • Tj Combo Starts 365d Log +0.21
  • Speed Fig Consistency +0.16
  • Today Track Code +0.14

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -2.59
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -1.11
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean -0.51
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -0.44
  • Last Speed Fig -0.41

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2025-11-13 CD 1m Dirt 8 32.5 49 82 Brief chs 5p;wknd;easd
2025-09-14 CD 7f Dirt 9 19.3 64 86 Lean out st;4p;7p upr
2025-07-20 SAR 6f Dirt 6 9.8 73 81 Stumbled st; weakened
2025-06-14 CD 1m Dirt 1 1.0 81 84 Ins-2p;cleared;lasted
2025-05-16 CD 7f Dirt 6 10.3 71 82 Ins;left ld;drift out