PP 8
THEORETICAL
F '23 · NYQUIST × SHYSHEISNOT
Trainer: MOTT RILEY · Jockey: ALVARADO JUNIOR
Today's prediction
76.5
Speed fig
28.1%
In-the-money
Last 4 races
Why this prediction?
Base prediction: 83.2 fig points
Pushing prediction up
- Mean Pace 4f Last 5 +0.10
- BRIS Dist Pedigree +0.09
- Class Par Trend +0.09
- Mean Pace 2f Last 5 +0.07
- Prior Starts At Churchill +0.06
Pushing prediction down
- BRIS Prime Power -3.68
- Max Speed Fig Career -1.03
- Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.85
- Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean -0.47
- Mean Speed Fig Last 5 -0.30
Past performances
| Date | Track | Dist | Sfx | Fin | Beat | Fig | Class | Comment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-29 | TAM | 1m | Turf | 5 | 8.0 | 76 | 74 | Ins;swng 8w;imprv late |
| 2025-11-29 | CD | 1.06m | Dirt | 6 | 8.5 | 76 | 81 | 3wd btw;gave way 4p2nd |
| 2025-10-22 | KEE | 7f | Dirt | 5 | 11.0 | 65 | 86 | Shy st;2-5p1/4;improvd |
| 2025-09-25 | CD | 6.5f | Dirt | 4 | 7.8 | 73 | 82 | Btw5/8;ins-2p;stayd on |