John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R9

PP 1

THEODORE GEORGE

C '22 · CURLIN × SWEET TAPPER

Trainer: MCCARTHY MICHAEL W · Jockey: SHEEHY DANNY

Today's prediction

83.6

Speed fig

19.7%

In-the-money

Last 5 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +2.77
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.83
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +0.80
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.65
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +0.65

Pushing prediction down

  • Distance Change From Last -0.61
  • Field Size Change From Last -0.19
  • Last Finish Pos -0.13
  • Today Field Size -0.11
  • Mean Late Pace Last 5 -0.10

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-25 CD 1.13m Turf 8 8.5 81 90 3wd; no factor
2026-02-08 SA 1.06m Dirt 5 6.3 82 96 Ins-2w;angled4wd;wknd
2026-01-18 SA 1.13m Turf 7 4.0 86 90 Tight erly;bp3/8;drftd
2025-11-20 CD 1.13m Dirt 1 2.3 90 87 Off slow/bmpd;4w;grind
2025-11-01 CD 1.06m Turf 7 7.3 79 87 Ins;chasd 2p2nd;no bid