John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R1

PP 4

THE REINBOW FACTOR

G '22 · THE FACTOR × LIFEFULLOFREINBOWS

Trainer: THOMPSON MICHAEL · Jockey: BESCHIZZA ADAM

Today's prediction

58.6

Speed fig

34.3%

In-the-money

Last 7 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Mean Pace 2f Last 5 +0.41
  • Mean Pace 4f Last 5 +0.39
  • Starts Last 180d +0.16
  • Weight Change From Last +0.15
  • Num Career Starts +0.13

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -11.49
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -1.94
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean -1.10
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -1.08
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 -0.71

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-30 CD 1m Dirt 7 15.5 54 79 Off slw;4w1/4;moved up
2026-04-10 KEE 7f Dirt 6 9.5 64 84 Brush st;2w btw;5p3/16
2026-03-12 TP 1m Dirt 8 14.0 65 79 Bpd btw st;2p;no factr
2026-01-08 TP 1.06m Dirt 9 14.3 61 79 Ins foe;ins duo1/4;wkn
2025-11-30 CD 7f Dirt 8 21.8 54 81 Off slow;lag;improved
2025-06-27 CD 6.5f Dirt 10 18.8 60 90 Slow st;never involved
2025-06-06 CD 5.5f Turf 10 9.5 65 86 Slow st;always trailed