John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R4

PP 8

THE HUND

C '23 · TACITUS × QUITE A SECRET

Trainer: DANNER KELSEY · Jockey: CARRASCO VICTOR R

Today's prediction

79.2

Speed fig

32.5%

In-the-money

Last 3 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +2.98
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.58
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +0.28
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.28
  • Max Speed Fig Career +0.16

Pushing prediction down

  • Today Post Position -0.34
  • Distance Change From Last -0.25
  • Speed Fig Consistency -0.22
  • Mean Pace 2f Last 5 -0.15
  • Today Field Size -0.15

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-19 KEE 7f Dirt 5 4.0 78 92 Track ins;chasd evenly
2026-03-21 TP 6f Dirt 4 5.0 81 84 Trck 3-4p;chsd;yld shw
2026-02-19 TP 6f Dirt 2 0.3 78 84 2-3p;left ld;bid;naild