John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R4

PP 15

THE FED'S PLOT

G '22 · LIAM'S MAP × DEBASE THE DOLLAR

Trainer: DANNER KELSEY · Jockey: BESCHIZZA ADAM

Today's prediction

69.6

Speed fig

18.5%

In-the-money

Last 6 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Turf Pedigree +0.39
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 +0.22
  • Num Career Starts +0.19
  • Speed Fig At Today Track Last +0.15
  • Max Speed Fig Career +0.15

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -4.36
  • Today Field Size -0.69
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.59
  • Field Size Change From Last -0.43
  • Today Post Position -0.37

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-03-12 TP 1m Dirt 5 7.0 74 79 Vied 4-2w1st;btw;faded
2025-06-24 PID 1.06m Dirt 2 0.1 69 78 Stdy drv;outkicked
2025-06-10 PID 1.04m Dirt 5 4.5 73 78 Tracked faded;no bid
2025-05-11 CD 1m Turf 6 7.8 79 87 Bt slow;2-3pbtw;mvd up
2024-10-12 KEE 1.06m Turf 10 7.5 70 80 Ins;3pupr;chck btw1/16
2024-09-05 KD 7f Turf 7 9.5 61 80 Veerd in st;svd ground