John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Saratoga R3

PP 6

TENACIOUS LEADER

C '22 · NOT THIS TIME × DIAMONDS AND RUST

Trainer: PLETCHER TODD A · Jockey: VELAZQUEZ J R

Scratched today

87.8

Speed fig

In-the-money

This horse was scratched and won't run today. Past-performance data below is unaffected.

Last 7 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +7.00
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +1.50
  • Today Track Code +1.05
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.99
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +0.98

Pushing prediction down

  • Today Field Size -0.92
  • Today Weight -0.36
  • Jockey Meet Itm Rate -0.17
  • Starts Last 180d -0.15
  • Jockey Meet Starts Log -0.13

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-02-28 GP 1.06m Turf 5 4.0 88 92 Rail trip; no rally
2025-10-25 KEE 1m Turf 2 0.3 90 91 Stalk 3w;late bid;miss
2025-10-04 KEE 1.06m Turf 1 0.1 88 90 Stlk 2w;bid;up1/16;hld
2024-10-05 KEE 1.06m Dirt 6 13.5 79 96 Bump start;3-4p;6p2nd
2024-08-29 SAR 1.06m Turf 2 0.3 88 86 3w 1/4; led; fought on
2024-08-10 SAR 1m Dirt 1 4.8 93 82 4-2p1st;3p;lead4p3/16
2024-07-13 SAR 5.5f Dirt 5 13.8 66 88 Chased 2-3w; improved