Derby 2026
← Race

PP 11

TEMPTING EVE

F '22 · ALTERNATION × TEMPTING OUR FATE

Trainer: HARTMAN CHRIS · Jockey: VELAZQUEZ J R

Today's prediction

81.6

Speed fig

18.2%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 83.2 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Max Speed Fig Career +0.95
  • Speed Fig Consistency +0.35
  • Days Since Last Race +0.28
  • Last Speed Fig +0.21
  • Prior Starts At Churchill +0.17

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -1.98
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.67
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean -0.49
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 -0.20
  • Mean Late Pace Last 5 -0.18

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-03-06 FG 5.5f Turf 1 3.8 87 82 Trck 4w;ridden out
2026-02-07 FG 5.5f Turf 6 6.5 73 82 Chase inside;gave way
2026-01-08 FG 5.5f Dirt 1 2.3 75 79 Press; bid 3/16; clear
2025-09-10 KD 6.5f Turf 3 3.5 75 82 Insd/off rail;mssd 2nd
2025-08-04 ELP 5.5f Turf 2 0.1 80 78 Late bid; not enough
2025-06-25 CD 5.5f Turf 4 2.0 78 81 3p upr; btw 1/8; yield
2025-06-05 CD 5.5f Turf 2 1.8 77 82 Ins;dueled place;lastd
2025-05-10 CD 1m Turf 5 4.0 71 81 Tug ins;headd 1/8;fade
2025-04-19 OP 6f Dirt 3 8.0 74 85 Vied inside;missed 2nd
2025-03-23 FG 5.5f Turf 3 0.5 76 77 Ins;dueld;game;outkckd