John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R2

PP 4

TEATONIC

F '23 · YAUPON × STONETONIC

Trainer: MCCARTHY MICHAEL W · Jockey: CORRALES GERARDO

Today's prediction

71.5

Speed fig

20.6%

In-the-money

Last 1 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Turf Pedigree +0.55
  • Mean Late Pace Last 5 +0.38
  • Days Since Last Race +0.33
  • Num Career Starts +0.24
  • Distance Change From Last +0.23

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -3.61
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.84
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean -0.80
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -0.72
  • Field Avg Quirin -0.47

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2025-06-27 CD 6f Dirt 6 10.0 63 84 2p turn;bmp6p upr;wknd