Derby 2026
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PP 5

TEARIN'UP MY HEART

F '23 · MIDSHIPMAN × HEARTFUL

Trainer: GARCIA GENARO · Jockey: MORALES EDGAR

Today's prediction

75.6

Speed fig

30.4%

In-the-money

Last 7 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 83.2 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Days Since Last Race +0.58
  • Speed Fig Trend +0.16
  • Prior Starts At Churchill +0.14
  • Mean Pace 2f Last 5 +0.11
  • Speed Fig At Similar Distance Mean +0.08

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -4.90
  • Max Speed Fig Career -0.81
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.74
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean -0.60
  • Speed Fig Consistency -0.50

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-02-06 TP 1m Dirt 3 4.5 76 87 3-4p; willingly
2026-01-09 TP 1m Dirt 4 8.8 75 87 Ins;6p1/8;moved up
2025-11-30 CD 7f Dirt 6 7.5 73 83 5-6p; no factor
2025-10-26 CD 1.06m Dirt 5 9.3 76 91 Ins;faded 2nd;shft out
2025-09-19 CD 1.06m Dirt 1 9.0 79 71 Ins;bid 2wd upr;cleard
2025-08-16 ELP 1m Turf 3 6.0 64 75 Saved ground;edged shw
2025-07-05 ELP 1m Turf 9 30.0 36 72 Step slow;ins;chck 1/4