John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R5

PP 1

TAQDEER

F '22 · TAMARKUZ × SABOOH

Trainer: CLINE ROBERT C · Jockey: LOVEBERRY JARETH

Today's prediction

80.4

Speed fig

42.0%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +4.05
  • Last Speed Fig +0.43
  • Today Track Code +0.36
  • Max Speed Fig Career +0.33
  • Today Field Size +0.31

Pushing prediction down

  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -1.09
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean -0.41
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.40
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -0.31
  • Distance Change From Last -0.14

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-05-11 TDN 6f Dirt 1 7.5 85 81 Much the best; handily
2026-04-22 TDN 5.5f Dirt 1 6.0 81 73 Much the best; handily
2026-03-27 TP 6.5f Dirt 11 13.5 58 82 4p btwn; faded 3/16
2026-02-25 TP 6.5f Dirt 4 8.0 69 77 Dueld ins foe;gave way
2026-02-14 TP 6.5f Dirt 2 6.0 74 78 Stalk 2w;bid;outkck1/8
2026-01-03 TP 6.5f Dirt 2 0.8 77 78 Bmp st;dueld 2w;outkck
2025-12-10 TP 6f Dirt 4 4.5 66 79 Inside speed; wknd
2025-11-12 IND 6f Dirt 2 0.1 68 76 3p;clear3/8;caught
2025-02-22 TP 6.5f Dirt 2 2.5 69 74 With pace; outkicked
2025-01-30 TP 1m Dirt 5 10.0 64 78 Along evenly str eun