John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R9

PP 4

TAPPAN STREET

C '22 · INTO MISCHIEF × VIRGINIA KEY

Trainer: COX BRAD H · Jockey: PRAT FLAVIEN

Today's prediction

92.1

Speed fig

34.4%

In-the-money

Last 5 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +7.44
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +2.09
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +1.55
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +1.19
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.98

Pushing prediction down

  • Last Finish Pos -0.49
  • Today Track Code -0.31
  • Today Field Size -0.11
  • Mean Late Pace Last 5 -0.11
  • Speed Fig At Today Track Max -0.10

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-01-24 GP 1.13m Dirt 12 22.5 75 105 Outrun 2-3wd
2025-12-19 GP 1m Dirt 1 1.0 92 95 Bump st; 2wd; drvng
2025-03-29 GP 1.13m Dirt 1 1.3 95 103 Settle 3w;up 1/8;clear
2025-02-01 GP 1.06m Dirt 2 1.8 99 97 4-3w; led 5/16 to 1/16
2024-12-28 GP 7f Dirt 1 1.8 89 83 Urgd ins;angl 1/8;drvg