John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R2

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F '23 · TAPIT × I'LL TAKE CHARGE

Trainer: COX BRAD H · Jockey: PRAT FLAVIEN

Today's prediction

82.2

Speed fig

50.1%

In-the-money

Last 3 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +3.14
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.72
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.46
  • Today Track Code +0.39
  • Last Speed Fig +0.35

Pushing prediction down

  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.54
  • Class Par Trend -0.30
  • Best Finish Pos Career -0.28
  • Today Field Size -0.23
  • Field Avg Quirin -0.16

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-30 OP 1.06m Dirt 2 1.0 86 81 Dueled 2p; stubborn
2026-02-17 FG 1.06m Dirt 6 13.0 72 83 Sandwiched start;3-4wd
2026-01-17 FG 6f Dirt 3 4.3 82 86 Bmpst; rallied8w