John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R12

PP 6

TAM TAM

F '23 · MEDAGLIA D'ORO × PRINCESS JULIA

Trainer: BAUER PHILIP A · Jockey: ALVARADO JUNIOR

Today's prediction

85.0

Speed fig

19.9%

In-the-money

Last 5 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +7.53
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +1.14
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +0.73
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.72
  • Last Speed Fig +0.46

Pushing prediction down

  • Today Field Size -1.02
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.45
  • Today Purse Log10 -0.40
  • Mean Pace 2f Last 5 -0.25
  • Mean Pace 4f Last 5 -0.21

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-03-28 GP 7.5f Turf 1 0.3 88 87 2wd; 4wd 3/16; up 1/16
2026-02-07 GP 1m Turf 1 0.8 86 79 Stalk 3p; edge ahead
2025-11-06 CD 1.06m Dirt 4 4.3 76 81 2w-ins;dueld;yield lat
2025-10-15 KEE 7f Dirt 2 1.0 87 86 Ins-2p;4p1/4;kpt at by
2025-08-23 SAR 6.5f Dirt 3 0.5 79 85 Duel;3p;led past1/16