John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R7

PP 5

TALKIN IN CURSIVE

M '21 · SPEIGHTSTER × OLD SOUTH BALL

Trainer: SHIRER MATT A · Jockey: TORRES JAIME A

Today's prediction

79.7

Speed fig

46.6%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +1.97
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.65
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +0.60
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.46
  • Distance Change From Last +0.19

Pushing prediction down

  • Speed Fig At Today Track Last -0.19
  • Num Career Starts -0.15
  • Speed Fig At Today Track Mean -0.15
  • Today Field Size -0.14
  • Speed Fig At Today Track Max -0.13

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-30 OP 6f Dirt 5 6.5 78 88 2p;swung 5p lane;1pace
2026-03-28 OP 6f Dirt 2 0.3 78 85 Chase4-5p; rally; miss
2026-03-14 OP 6f Dirt 3 1.0 82 91 Late bid btwn;not enuf
2026-02-26 OP 6f Dirt 1 3.5 83 89 Bid 3p5/16; drew clear
2026-02-13 OP 6f Dirt 5 3.5 76 88 Btwn4-3p;6p upper;even
2025-11-28 AQU 7f Dirt 3 2.8 87 86 5path turn;willingly
2025-08-07 SAR 6f Dirt 6 8.5 75 90 Chsd out;2p;3p1/4;wknd
2025-07-23 SAR 7f Dirt 4 2.8 75 85 Ins-2p turn;3p1/4;wknd
2025-07-10 SAR 6f Dirt 1 5.0 90 91 Prompted 4-3w; drew cl
2025-06-21 BAQ 6.5f Dirt 4 6.0 75 80 Chased ins; belatedly