John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R6

PP 4

TAKEMETOTHEBEACH

M '21 · TAKE CHARGE INDY × STREET DOLL

Trainer: SHARP JOE · Jockey: ORTIZ JOSE L

Today's prediction

84.8

Speed fig

54.8%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +6.00
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.62
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +0.58
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +0.56
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.49

Pushing prediction down

  • Distance Change From Last -0.40
  • Today Field Size -0.15
  • Is Surface Change From Last -0.15
  • Jockey Meet Win Rate -0.12
  • Mean Pace 4f Last 5 -0.11

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-03-26 TP 6f Dirt 4 4.0 84 92 Off slw;angled widest
2026-02-11 TP 1m Dirt 3 6.0 78 92 Ins-2w;bid 3/8;outkckd
2026-01-14 TP 1m Dirt 3 0.5 83 88 Prompt 2wbtw;led;game
2025-10-05 WO 1.06m Dirt 1 4.5 90 89 Speed ins; pulled away
2025-05-26 CD 1m Turf 7 8.8 80 87 Stalked;bid2w;wknd str
2025-05-02 CD 1.13m Turf 5 17.3 79 92 Ins;rank;4p1/4;tired
2025-03-22 TP 1.06m Dirt 4 6.0 81 94 Pace to str weakened
2025-02-14 TP 1m Dirt 1 11.5 89 87 All pace ridden out
2025-01-01 TP 6.5f Dirt 7 11.5 69 88 Duel btwn turn empty
2024-09-09 PID 6f Dirt 2 0.1 85 81 Drifted out;outfinishe