John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R8

PP 10

SWING VOTE

F '23 · CONSTITUTION × FAST SCENE

Trainer: MOTT WILLIAM I · Jockey: TORRES JAIME A

Today's prediction

76.6

Speed fig

16.7%

In-the-money

Last 4 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +3.34
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.60
  • BRIS Turf Pedigree +0.43
  • BRIS Dirt Pedigree +0.23
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 +0.19

Pushing prediction down

  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean -1.15
  • Field Size Change From Last -1.14
  • Today Field Size -0.98
  • Distance Change From Last -0.90
  • Today Post Position -0.39

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-04 KEE 6f Dirt 7 10.8 73 86 Bmpd st;2wbtw;stdy5/16
2026-02-28 GP 1m Dirt 6 18.5 70 95 Stumbled brk;4p;tired
2026-01-24 GP 6f Dirt 1 1.0 92 85 Step slow;bid4w;clear
2025-12-28 GP 6f Dirt 3 1.3 86 81 Off slow;wait1/4;closd