John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R1

PP 8

SWEET MARY

F '24 · MITOLE × JULIA'S PRIDE

Trainer: ASMUSSEN STEVEN M · Jockey: ASMUSSEN KEITH J

Today's prediction

67.2

Speed fig

45.0%

In-the-money

Last 0 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +2.06
  • Mean Btn Lengths Last 5 +0.52
  • Mean Late Pace Last 5 +0.39
  • Last Finish Pos +0.32
  • Trainer Meet Itm Rate +0.17

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -2.67
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -1.95
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean -1.27
  • Max Speed Fig Career -1.14
  • Last Speed Fig -0.96

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment