Derby 2026
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PP 9

SWEET FREEDOM

G '21 · CANDY RIDE × ALL AMERICAN GAL

Trainer: MEDINA ROBERT · Jockey: ACHARD ALEX

Today's prediction

80.0

Speed fig

27.5%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 83.2 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Max Speed Fig Career +0.31
  • Speed Fig Consistency +0.27
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.24
  • Class Par Trend +0.10
  • Mean Late Pace Last 5 +0.10

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -2.76
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.27
  • Days Since Last Race -0.23
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.20
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 -0.20

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-03-28 TP 6.5f Dirt 1 0.3 82 90 3-4w;6w3/16;rallied;up
2026-02-28 TP 6.5f Dirt 2 1.3 87 88 Press 3w;led;outkck1/8
2025-05-29 IND 1.04m Dirt 1 6.5 80 78 Rail;bid btw1/4;drvg
2025-04-25 KEE 1.06m Turf 6 8.5 70 87 Ins;shuffld 2nd;willng
2025-03-05 TP 1m Dirt 2 2.3 83 86 Angle widest no match
2024-12-21 TP 1.06m Dirt 2 1.8 82 86 Off rail run for 2nd
2024-10-24 KEE 1.06m Turf 4 2.3 82 88 Bump st;ins;willingly
2024-09-29 CD 1.25m Dirt 5 16.5 71 90 Track 2wbtw;done early
2024-08-25 ELP 1.13m Turf 7 6.8 71 86 Stalk ins;chased;faded
2024-07-05 ELP 1m Dirt 3 0.5 82 85 Late bid 3w;not enough