John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R1

PP 4

SWEET BEBSI

F '22 · VIOLENCE × SWEET NKOSI

Trainer: NEWTON TROY · Jockey: BESCHIZZA ADAM

Today's prediction

78.0

Speed fig

69.0%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Speed Fig Consistency +0.43
  • Today Track Code +0.34
  • Last Finish Pos +0.33
  • Today Field Size +0.29
  • Max Speed Fig Career +0.25

Pushing prediction down

  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -0.42
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.40
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.37
  • BRIS Prime Power -0.20
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean -0.12

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-26 CD 6f Dirt 1 2.3 77 78 Vied 2wbtw;shook clear
2026-03-18 TP 6f Dirt 2 2.0 75 79 6p3/16;ran on;edge plc
2026-02-28 TP 6f Dirt 9 12.8 68 88 Ins;shft out upr;nobid
2026-02-06 TP 6f Dirt 3 0.5 81 79 Ins;rail bid;outkickd
2025-12-20 TP 6f Dirt 12 22.5 47 81 Chasd 2p-ins;caved btw
2025-10-17 KEE 6f Dirt 4 5.8 72 88 4p;bid btw5/16;yielded
2025-06-20 CD 6.5f Dirt 5 7.3 69 83 Ins-2p;5p upr;no factr
2025-05-22 CD 6f Dirt 4 5.5 79 84 3p;5p upr;stayd mildly
2025-04-16 KEE 5.5f Turf 12 13.3 63 87 3pbtw;brshd 8pupr;fade
2025-03-20 TP 6f Dirt 2 4.8 73 83 Outs str run for 2nd