John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R3

PP 6

SURVIVIN'ONAPRAYER

G '23 · CONNECT × BON JOVI GIRL

Trainer: HAMILTON SARAH · Jockey: ELLIOTT JANE

Today's prediction

77.8

Speed fig

26.3%

In-the-money

Last 7 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +1.05
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +0.74
  • Today Track Code +0.48
  • Last Speed Fig +0.31
  • Class Par Trend +0.29

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -1.25
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.40
  • Speed Fig At Today Track Last -0.24
  • Jockey Meet Itm Rate -0.24
  • Speed Fig At Today Track Max -0.19

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-19 KEE 1.19m Turf 6 5.5 83 Bump/tight btw st;ins
2026-03-05 TP 1m Dirt 4 5.8 75 86 3-2p;ins upr;improved
2026-02-07 TP 1m Dirt 4 9.3 81 91 2-3p;6w3/16;mildly
2026-01-16 TP 1.06m Dirt 1 0.5 75 78 Ins;btw1/4;rl bid;held
2025-12-05 TP 1m Dirt 8 10.0 61 77 Ins run; no menace
2025-11-15 CD 1.06m Dirt 4 20.5 61 85 Bmpd st;ins-2p;swung5w
2025-10-29 CD 7f Dirt 8 17.5 59 84 Bump/steady early;lag