PP 3
SURF CITY
H '21 · MENDELSSOHN × EVASIVE STORM
Trainer: OLIVER VICTORIA · Jockey: ALVARADO JUNIOR
Today's prediction
84.2
Speed fig
46.7%
In-the-money
Last 10 races
Why this prediction?
Base prediction: 83.2 fig points
Pushing prediction up
- Mean Class Par Last 5 +1.91
- Max Speed Fig Career +1.26
- Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.40
- Speed Fig Consistency +0.36
- Prior Starts At Churchill +0.14
Pushing prediction down
- BRIS Prime Power -2.46
- Days Since Last Race -0.29
- Mean Speed Fig Last 5 -0.27
- Mean Late Pace Last 5 -0.19
- Mean Pace 2f Last 5 -0.10
Past performances
| Date | Track | Dist | Sfx | Fin | Beat | Fig | Class | Comment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-03 | KEE | 5.5f | Turf | 8 | 6.3 | 75 | — | Bmpd btw/steady st;3p |
| 2026-03-04 | TP | 6.5f | Dirt | 7 | 10.0 | 72 | 96 | Vied ins foe;faded 1/4 |
| 2026-02-06 | TP | 1m | Dirt | 6 | 6.3 | 88 | 92 | Pull;bid 5/8;faded 1/8 |
| 2026-01-07 | TP | 6.5f | Dirt | 7 | 9.3 | 76 | 96 | Ins;3p3/16;no factor |
| 2025-12-06 | TP | 6.5f | Dirt | 5 | 4.3 | 85 | 96 | Improved position late |
| 2025-11-14 | CD | 5.5f | Turf | 5 | 3.0 | 92 | 91 | Swung 10w;gaining late |
| 2025-10-17 | KEE | 5.5f | Turf | 4 | 5.3 | 86 | — | Step slow;improvd late |
| 2025-09-10 | KD | 7f | Turf | 4 | 1.0 | 87 | 91 | Bmp st; ins; stymy5/16 |
| 2025-08-01 | ELP | 5.5f | Turf | 5 | 3.0 | 83 | 91 | Step slow;2w;no factor |
| 2025-06-27 | CD | 5.5f | Turf | 10 | 7.5 | 81 | 91 | Never menaced |