John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R2

PP 7

SUDDEN SWITCH

M '21 · MUNNINGS × SWITCHED UP

Trainer: MOTT RILEY · Jockey: TORRES JAIME A

Today's prediction

85.3

Speed fig

36.6%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +4.90
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +1.34
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.90
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +0.76
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.70

Pushing prediction down

  • Today Track Code -0.25
  • Today Field Size -0.20
  • Today Post Position -0.14
  • Field Size Change From Last -0.12
  • BRIS Turf Pedigree -0.09

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-08 KEE 7f Dirt 2 6.5 89 92 Ins;chs 3-4p1/4;2d bst
2026-03-12 GP 1m Dirt 5 13.8 78 90 Led 3wd; faltered
2026-01-21 TP 1m Dirt 92 3-2p;eased;walked off
2025-11-08 CD 6f Dirt 6 6.0 83 96 4-5p;chased;faded btw
2025-10-05 KEE 7f Dirt 1 0.3 93 92 2w;duel 4p upr;prevail
2025-08-30 KD 6.5f Turf 9 5.5 76 87 Outside;5-6w;weakened
2025-08-01 CNL 1.06m Dirt 6 10.5 71 89 Vied ins;bid;wknd 1/8
2025-06-22 CD 1m Dirt 2 1.5 84 89 Bmp st;2-3p;dug in str
2025-05-18 CD 1.13m Dirt 6 3.0 84 89 Ins;duel;yield btw1/16
2025-04-10 KEE 1.06m Dirt 1 4.5 91 91 In hand ins;ridden out