John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R2

PP 5

STREET PAINTER

M '20 · STREET STRATEGY × PAINTERGONE

Trainer: SHORTER AARON · Jockey: TORRES CRISTIAN A

Today's prediction

76.6

Speed fig

43.9%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +0.72
  • BRIS Prime Power +0.54
  • Weight Change From Last +0.25
  • Field Size Change From Last +0.20
  • Today Field Size +0.18

Pushing prediction down

  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.82
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -0.54
  • Last Speed Fig -0.25
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean -0.22
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 -0.18

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-05-01 OP 6f Dirt 6 12.8 67 One paced;4w turn
2026-04-12 OP 1.06m Dirt 8 20.0 58 Faltered when headed
2026-03-20 OP 6f Dirt 2 2.3 74 Ins;angle6p upr;ran on
2026-02-20 OP 6f Dirt 6 22.0 65 89 Ins;angled1/4;5p upper
2025-12-28 OP 6f Dirt 1 1.5 79 Traffic 7/16;strongly
2025-11-13 CD 6.5f Dirt 6 5.5 71 81 Headd ins pair3/8;fade
2025-10-16 IND 6f Dirt 4 7.3 74 80 Stalked3p;faded str
2025-09-13 CD 6f Dirt 3 7.8 73 81 Bmpd;4-3w;outkckd;chsd
2025-08-23 ELP 6f Dirt 3 1.0 78 81 Pace 2p; caught 1/16
2025-07-14 ELP 1m Turf 5 4.8 69 76 Tuggd early;led;falter