John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R9

PP 9

STOWAWAY

G '19 · GUN RUNNER × SECRET JEWEL

Trainer: BECKMAN D WHITWORTH · Jockey: ORTIZ JOSE L

Today's prediction

90.5

Speed fig

31.4%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +5.60
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +1.95
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +1.51
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +1.22
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.82

Pushing prediction down

  • Distance Change From Last -0.40
  • Today Post Position -0.25
  • Today Field Size -0.16
  • Num Career Starts -0.15
  • Mean Speed Fig Career -0.13

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-04 AQU 1.25m Dirt 4 10.3 90 97 Hit gate st; weakened
2026-03-12 CNL 1.38m Dirt 2 2.3 96 92 Snow;rally btw foes
2026-02-14 FG 1.06m Dirt 5 8.5 84 99 Coaxed 3w;no threat
2025-12-20 FG 1.06m Dirt 3 1.0 96 96 Weaved; rallied; short
2025-10-16 KEE 1.06m Dirt 2 0.3 92 93 2wbtw;fought on;gamely
2025-09-18 CD 1.13m Dirt 4 3.0 92 93 Tracked ins; one paced
2025-08-13 SAR 1m Dirt 2 5.8 90 93 Bobbld brk;out;3p trns
2024-05-27 CD 1m Dirt 1 0.3 91 95 3pbtw;4w1/4;bid;edged
2023-12-10 WO 1.06m Dirt 5 4.8 81 99 Willingly thru stretch
2023-11-19 WO 1.13m Dirt 3 3.0 86 97 Reserved;came out str