John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R12

PP 1

STORMTOWN

G '21 · MO TOWN × DANCIN IN A STORM

Trainer: MILLER DARRIN · Jockey: MILLER CHASE

Today's prediction

74.5

Speed fig

5.4%

In-the-money

Last 4 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Field Early Speed Count +0.31
  • Today Post Position +0.27
  • Distance Change From Last +0.21
  • Num Career Starts +0.21
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +0.14

Pushing prediction down

  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean -0.62
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.62
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -0.52
  • Last Finish Pos -0.48
  • Last Speed Fig -0.43

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-03-25 TP 6.5f Dirt 12 22.0 56 86 Wrangled st;5-6p;tired
2026-01-16 TP 6f Dirt 5 6.5 74 85 Led 2p;headd upr;faded
2025-05-08 CD 5f Turf 4 6.5 75 87 Vied 2w-3p;gave way
2024-02-16 TP 6.5f Dirt 4 4.5 77 85 Tardy; widest improved