John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R12

PP 1

STORM'S WAKE

F '23 · OSCAR PERFORMANCE × AMBER STORM

Trainer: LYNCH BRIAN A · Jockey: ROSARIO JOEL

Today's prediction

89.5

Speed fig

25.4%

In-the-money

Last 7 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +7.23
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +1.00
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.81
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.72
  • Last Speed Fig +0.70

Pushing prediction down

  • Today Field Size -0.56
  • Tj Combo Roi 365d -0.18
  • Field Size Change From Last -0.14
  • Field Early Speed Count -0.07
  • Jockey Meet Starts Log -0.06

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-04 KEE 1m Turf 1 0.3 91 89 2p;6-9p1/8;up in time
2026-02-28 GP 1m Turf 3 1.0 87 88 Rail;3w 3/16;left lead
2026-01-31 GP 1.06m Turf 4 7.5 81 87 2p;btwn1/4; improved
2026-01-03 GP 1m Turf 3 2.5 87 86 Ins;4w3/16;finish well
2025-10-25 GP 1m Turf 6 13.3 68 85 Well placed;gave way
2025-09-28 CD 1m Turf 1 0.1 87 3w2nd;6p1/4;rallied;up
2025-08-24 ELP 5.5f Turf 1 0.5 77 77 2wbtw;chck;3w;bid;held