John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R8

PP 5

STOP THE CAR

C '23 · MAXIMUM SECURITY × PUSSYFOOT

Trainer: WALSH BRENDAN P · Jockey: GAFFALIONE TYLER

Today's prediction

88.9

Speed fig

28.7%

In-the-money

Last 4 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +5.87
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +1.51
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +1.09
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +0.82
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.76

Pushing prediction down

  • Today Track Code -0.30
  • Today Field Size -0.13
  • Field Avg Quirin -0.12
  • Tj Combo Starts 365d Log -0.08
  • Mean Pace 4f Last 5 -0.07

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-03-21 TP 1.13m Dirt 4 8.0 90 97 4-5p;moved up willngly
2026-01-17 FG 1.06m Dirt 7 5.8 81 97 Track4w; faded
2025-11-29 CD 1m Dirt 1 3.8 92 86 Ins;bid 2w1/4;cleared
2025-10-24 KEE 6f Dirt 1 1.8 79 84 Ins;6p3/16;up late