Derby 2026
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PP 3

STEEL

C '23 · TAPIT × SNUGGS AND KISSES

Trainer: MOTT WILLIAM I · Jockey: ALVARADO JUNIOR

Today's prediction

84.1

Speed fig

23.0%

In-the-money

Last 2 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 83.2 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +1.80
  • Mean Pace 2f Last 5 +0.24
  • Speed Fig Trend +0.24
  • BRIS Prime Power +0.23
  • BRIS Dirt Pedigree +0.19

Pushing prediction down

  • Max Speed Fig Career -0.52
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 -0.32
  • Days Since Last Race -0.27
  • Prior Starts At Churchill -0.20
  • Speed Fig Consistency -0.18

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-04 AQU 1.13m Dirt 9 8.3 82 98 Toss head;off slw;3-5p
2026-02-28 GP 1m Dirt 1 0.1 83 87 Off slow;2-4p;closd;up