John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R6

PP 9

START OUT

C '23 · UPSTART × AND STAY OUT

Trainer: COX BRAD H · Jockey: ORTIZ IRAD JR

Scratched today

59.0

Speed fig

In-the-money

This horse was scratched and won't run today. Past-performance data below is unaffected.

Last 2 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Distance Change From Last +0.54
  • Early Late Pace Diff Last 5 +0.41
  • Weight Change From Last +0.35
  • Mean Late Pace Last 5 +0.28
  • Jockey Meet Win Rate +0.24

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -11.16
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -1.92
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean -1.73
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -0.99
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 -0.74

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-04 OP 1m Dirt 7 17.5 53 80 2p-rail;cued5/16;yield
2026-03-01 FG 5.5f Turf 6 17.0 51 83 Rated ins; retreated