John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R4

PP 3

START MO UP

G '22 · MO TOWN × JAGGERMAMA

Trainer: LEJZEROWICZ JOE · Jockey: RADOSEVICH JOSHUA J

Today's prediction

75.4

Speed fig

30.0%

In-the-money

Last 11 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.81
  • Today Track Code +0.23
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +0.21
  • Mean Pace 4f Last 5 +0.16
  • Today Post Position +0.16

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -2.65
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -0.33
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.23
  • Jockey Meet Itm Rate -0.17
  • Num Career Starts -0.17

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-05-10 CD 1m Dirt 5 8.8 76 88 3-4p;2p1/4;no menace
2026-04-03 KEE 1.13m Turf 12 18.0 65 90 Ins quartet 3/8;wkn1/4
2026-03-01 HOU 1.06m Turf 5 5.5 75 83 Sttld bk;mild gain
2026-02-06 HOU 1m Dirt 7 11.3 68 83 Trk3w;wknd1/4; tired
2026-01-02 GP 1.04m Dirt 7 11.8 70 86 Chased 4-3wd; empty
2025-11-28 TAM 1.06m Turf 6 4.8 77 85 Pace;yielded past 1/8
2025-08-09 CNL 1m Dirt 8 25.0 65 91 Tracked ins; stopped
2025-07-23 CNL 1.13m Dirt 3 2.5 92 89 Vied;bid3w; faded 1/8
2025-06-15 CD 1.06m Dirt 1 1.8 81 90 Ins foe;shook free upr
2025-05-31 CD 1.13m Dirt 4 5.5 86 90 Ins;chckd;vied plc btw
2025-05-08 CD 1.06m Dirt 5 3.0 82 90 Jostle st;4p;5p1/4;evn