John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R9

PP 4

STARK CONTRAST

C '23 · CARAVAGGIO × CATCH THE EYE

Trainer: MCCARTHY MICHAEL W · Jockey: PRAT FLAVIEN

Today's prediction

91.3

Speed fig

35.4%

In-the-money

Last 6 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +8.81
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +2.44
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.98
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.93
  • Today Purse Log10 +0.86

Pushing prediction down

  • Today Field Size -1.13
  • Today Track Code -0.43
  • Mean Pace 2f Last 5 -0.15
  • Speed Fig At Today Track Last -0.14
  • Speed Fig Consistency -0.13

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-03-21 TP 1.13m Dirt 2 2.5 96 97 Bob bit;3-4p;bid;outkk
2026-01-08 SA 1m Turf 1 2.3 91 89 Outside; proved best
2025-10-31 DMR 1m Turf 2 0.8 93 96 Waited2nd;lack rm uppr
2025-10-05 SA 1m Turf 1 1.0 87 86 Ins-2w;2-3w;best late
2025-09-06 DMR 1m Turf 1 1.0 82 81 2-3wd; reeled in foe
2025-08-03 DMR 6f Dirt 4 11.5 74 90 3deep btwn;3-2w;fade