Derby 2026
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PP 4

STARK CONTRAST

C '23 · CARAVAGGIO × CATCH THE EYE

Trainer: MCCARTHY MICHAEL W · Jockey: PRAT FLAVIEN

Today's prediction

92.9

Speed fig

31.3%

In-the-money

Last 6 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 83.2 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +7.04
  • Max Speed Fig Career +1.30
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.56
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 +0.46
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +0.31

Pushing prediction down

  • Last Speed Fig -0.25
  • Prior Starts At Churchill -0.13
  • Speed Fig At Similar Distance Mean -0.10
  • Mean Pace 2f Last 5 -0.08
  • BRIS Dirt Pedigree -0.08

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-03-21 TP 1.13m Dirt 2 2.5 96 97 Bob bit;3-4p;bid;outkk
2026-01-08 SA 1m Turf 1 2.3 91 89 Outside; proved best
2025-10-31 DMR 1m Turf 2 0.8 93 96 Waited2nd;lack rm uppr
2025-10-05 SA 1m Turf 1 1.0 87 86 Ins-2w;2-3w;best late
2025-09-06 DMR 1m Turf 1 1.0 82 81 2-3wd; reeled in foe
2025-08-03 DMR 6f Dirt 4 11.5 74 90 3deep btwn;3-2w;fade