Derby 2026
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PP 4

STAR'S IMAGE

g '22 · CARAVAGGIO × BO'S IMAGE

Trainer: SHARP JOE · Jockey: ORTIZ IRAD JR

Today's prediction

81.8

Speed fig

39.3%

In-the-money

Last 9 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 83.2 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Max Speed Fig Career +0.86
  • Days Since Last Race +0.72
  • Speed Fig Consistency +0.33
  • Class Par Trend +0.19
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +0.17

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -2.48
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean -0.84
  • Mean Late Pace Last 5 -0.15
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 -0.14
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.06

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-01-11 FG 5f Turf 2 0.8 84 86 Ins bid; flatered
2025-11-22 TAM 5f Turf 2 3.5 86 88 Bump st; 4-2p; kept on
2025-08-21 HAW 5.5f Dirt 5 12.0 62 86 4-w upper;no response
2025-08-04 ELP 5.5f Turf 5 4.0 83 Dueled 2w btw;wknd 1/8
2025-07-04 ELP 5.5f Turf 4 3.0 77 90 Ins foe;ins duo1/8;yld
2025-06-06 CD 5f Dirt 3 0.8 87 Ins;rl aim;kept at bay
2025-01-04 TP 6.5f Dirt 6 21.0 50 88 Through early; stopped
2024-12-16 FG 5.5f Turf 1 1.3 89 82 Held gamely; driving;
2024-11-22 FG 5.5f Turf 1 0.1 81 80 Sent clear; prevailed;