John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R8

PP 4

STAR'S IMAGE

G '22 · CARAVAGGIO × BO'S IMAGE

Trainer: SHARP JOE · Jockey: ORTIZ IRAD JR

Today's prediction

82.1

Speed fig

27.6%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +3.49
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +1.22
  • Last Speed Fig +0.66
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.44
  • Class Par Trend +0.22

Pushing prediction down

  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean -0.47
  • Today Field Size -0.37
  • Field Size Change From Last -0.34
  • Mean Pace 2f Last 5 -0.27
  • Mean Pace 4f Last 5 -0.15

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-30 CD 6f Dirt 1 0.3 90 91 Vied 2wd;dueled;up btw
2026-01-11 FG 5f Turf 2 0.8 84 86 Ins bid; flatered
2025-11-22 TAM 5f Turf 2 3.5 86 88 Bump st; 4-2p; kept on
2025-08-21 HAW 5.5f Dirt 5 12.0 62 86 4-w upper;no response
2025-08-04 ELP 5.5f Turf 5 4.0 83 Dueled 2w btw;wknd 1/8
2025-07-04 ELP 5.5f Turf 4 3.0 77 90 Ins foe;ins duo1/8;yld
2025-06-06 CD 5f Dirt 3 0.8 87 Ins;rl aim;kept at bay
2025-01-04 TP 6.5f Dirt 6 21.0 50 88 Through early; stopped
2024-12-16 FG 5.5f Turf 1 1.3 89 82 Held gamely; driving;
2024-11-22 FG 5.5f Turf 1 0.1 81 80 Sent clear; prevailed;