Derby 2026
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PP 10

STAR ACTRESS

F '23 · JUSTIFY × STAR ACT

Trainer: MOTT WILLIAM I · Jockey: ALVARADO JUNIOR

Today's prediction

88.6

Speed fig

42.6%

In-the-money

Last 3 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 83.2 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +3.03
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +0.90
  • Speed Fig At Similar Distance Mean +0.53
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 +0.37
  • BRIS Dirt Pedigree +0.34

Pushing prediction down

  • Max Speed Fig Career -0.38
  • Speed Fig Consistency -0.35
  • Days Since Last Race -0.31
  • Prior Starts At Churchill -0.18
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.07

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-03 KEE 1.06m Dirt 3 5.8 83 99 Ins;4-5p2nd;stayed on
2026-03-15 GP 1.06m Dirt 1 1.0 85 81 Btwn far;bid2w;driving
2026-02-08 GP 7f Dirt 2 0.5 83 85 Swung out 3/16; surged