John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R1

PP 2

STAKEHOLDER

C '23 · AUTHENTIC × TOMLIN

Trainer: WILKES IAN R · Jockey: HERNANDEZ B J JR

Today's prediction

78.2

Speed fig

31.8%

In-the-money

Last 4 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +0.99
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +0.33
  • Class Par Trend +0.31
  • Today Track Code +0.27
  • Today Post Position +0.23

Pushing prediction down

  • Field Size Change From Last -0.37
  • Tj Combo Roi 365d -0.26
  • Today Field Size -0.25
  • Speed Fig At Today Track Last -0.20
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -0.20

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-09 KEE 1.06m Dirt 2 4.3 82 91 4-2p;3-5p1/8;willingly
2026-03-20 GP 1.06m Dirt 5 14.3 80 87 Bumped start; rail
2026-02-07 GP 1.06m Dirt 4 8.3 77 87 Failed to menace; 3-4w
2025-11-29 CD 7f Dirt 9 26.5 62 84 Inside; no impact