John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R6

PP 8

SPRING ST. DREAMER

G '23 · ALWAYS DREAMING × THE WINGED VENUS

Trainer: SHIRER MATT A · Jockey: CEDILLO ABEL

Today's prediction

59.8

Speed fig

17.9%

In-the-money

Last 3 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Mean Pace 4f Last 5 +0.33
  • Distance Change From Last +0.14
  • Today Weight +0.13
  • Mean Speed Fig Career +0.13
  • Mean Pace 2f Last 5 +0.10

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -9.65
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -1.89
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -1.09
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean -1.07
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 -0.71

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-30 CD 1m Dirt 6 13.0 57 79 2wd btwn; no menace
2026-03-07 OP 1.06m Dirt 4 14.8 61 80 Trail ins-3p;no impact
2026-02-06 OP 1m Dirt 8 18.0 60 81 Bump st;inside;no bid