John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R1

PP 2

SPOTAWAY

F '22 · DAREDEVIL × SOUTH BANK

Trainer: ROUCK MARTIN L · Jockey: LEPAROUX JULIEN R

Today's prediction

73.3

Speed fig

52.1%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Field Avg Quirin +0.36
  • Today Post Position +0.27
  • Speed Fig At Today Track Last +0.27
  • Max Speed Fig Career +0.20
  • Days Since Last Race +0.19

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -2.88
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.59
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.44
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -0.42
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean -0.27

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-15 KEE 6.5f Dirt 3 3.8 70 82 Ins winner; no match
2026-02-25 TP 6f Dirt 7 10.3 64 78 Stalk 4-2p;faded 3pupr
2026-01-14 TP 6f Dirt 3 4.3 67 78 Collared 1/8;wknd btwn
2025-11-19 CD 6f Dirt 4 1.3 79 81 3-5p;bid;vied;outkickd
2025-10-30 CD 6f Dirt 4 9.5 65 80 Ins;chsd;mild;miss shw
2025-10-07 BTP 5f Dirt 3 5.8 69 75 Sent;chased;weakened
2025-09-12 BTP 5f Turf 5 1.5 71 76 Led;svd gnd;wkn late
2025-08-01 BTP 6f Dirt 1 3.8 74 79 2-path; driving
2025-07-19 ELP 6.5f Dirt 6 8.0 75 80 Ins foe;wknd;steady1/8
2025-06-18 CD 6f Dirt 4 11.8 61 79 Dueld ins foe;gave way