John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R3

PP 3

SPECIAL CALIBER

C '22 · MO TOWN × ADAMAS

Trainer: DOUAIHY MICHEL · Jockey: MORALES EDGAR

Today's prediction

79.8

Speed fig

13.2%

In-the-money

Last 8 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +3.22
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +0.80
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +0.56
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.43
  • Num Career Starts +0.19

Pushing prediction down

  • Today Field Size -0.76
  • Field Size Change From Last -0.54
  • Speed Fig At Today Track Max -0.17
  • Speed Fig Consistency -0.16
  • Class Par Trend -0.16

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-12 KEE 1m Turf 8 6.8 82 Stalk ins;chased;faded
2026-03-06 TP 1m Dirt 6 9.8 81 92 4-3p;2p2nd;no menace
2025-04-30 IND 1m Dirt 1 4.0 84 87 Stlk;bid1/2;duel;drvg
2025-04-09 KEE 1.06m Dirt 7 10.5 78 91 Ins;2wd btw;no factor
2025-02-22 TP 1.06m Dirt 8 15.8 73 93 Never threatened
2025-01-18 TP 1m Dirt 1 0.8 75 84 In earnest edged off
2024-12-19 TP 6f Dirt 4 10.0 68 84 Outs run; evenly str
2024-11-29 CD 6f Dirt 8 11.0 68 84 3p;5p1/4;no factor