John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R5

PP 5

SPANKERBOOM

F '22 · MENDELSSOHN × SPANKER

Trainer: ASHFORD TRISTAN · Jockey: BEJARANO R

Today's prediction

70.2

Speed fig

24.0%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Speed Fig At Today Track Last +0.28
  • Max Speed Fig Career +0.19
  • Speed Fig At Today Track Mean +0.17
  • Field Size Change From Last +0.14
  • Trainer Meet Starts Log +0.12

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -4.13
  • Distance Change From Last -0.81
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -0.33
  • Starts Last 180d -0.32
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.28

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-03-07 HOU 5f Turf 8 10.3 65 76 Trk2w;wknd1/4;no bid
2025-05-28 IND 1.04m Dirt 1 4.5 79 74 Led2p;drew off;driving
2025-05-14 IND 6f Dirt 4 11.8 74 85 Dueled inside;gave way
2025-04-26 OP 1.06m Dirt 7 20.8 63 87 Gave way when headed
2025-03-30 OP 6f Dirt 9 11.3 70 89 3w;fell back;no bid
2025-03-16 OP 1.06m Dirt 5 8.5 73 87 Pace inside; faltered
2025-02-24 OP 6f Dirt 6 11.8 72 90 Vied btwn;tiring;std'd
2025-01-31 OP 6f Dirt 8 10.3 70 91 Pressed btwn;gave way
2024-07-05 PRM 5.5f Dirt 3 6.5 66 83 Brief lead;3p;kept on
2024-06-16 CD 4.5f Dirt 1 1.5 80 81 6-3w5/16;cleared;held